Fastrack · Trump Approval Hits New Low in Latest Polls

36% of likely voters approve of President Donald Trump in a new New York Times/Siena poll. That is the lowest Trump approval the poll has recorded.

59% of likely voters disapprove; 34% of registered voters approve.
11-point Democratic lead on the generic House ballot.
69% disapprove of Trump on cost of living; 73% on gas prices.
82% of Republicans still approve of the president.

Why it matters: Economic frustration drives the numbers, with gas above $4 nationally during the Iran war. Independents and some groups that backed Trump in 2024 are moving away.

More than two-thirds of independents disapprove of Trump's job performance.
Democrats lead by 15 points on trust over cost of living.

The story so far

106 steps · since Oct 7

Oct 7–9
Oct 95:31 PMPolls and Forecasts Point to Democratic Midterm Lead73 sources
Oct 10–12
Oct 125:39 AMMusk Gives $276M to Republicans Ahead of Midterms59 sources
Oct 12–14
Oct 148:39 AMUS Inflation Rises to 3.7% in September75 sources
Oct 14–16
Oct 174:23 AMViolent Protests Sweep France as 1,800 Are Arrested112 sources
Oct 17–20
Oct 21Trump Approval Hits New Low in Latest PollsYou are hereLatest

How 19 sources split on this story

Source landscape

Factuality

High

Mixed

Low

Strong LeftLeftLean LeftCenterLean RightRightStrong Right

Political Bias

Coverage by lean% of 19 sources

19 sources · 22 articles · 47% Left coverage

Where they split: Outlets differ on whether the story is a Republican coalition breaking apart or a president losing ground on prices while keeping his base.

Center6 sources

Forbes3hTrump’s Approval Rating Hits Record Low In Third New Poll This Week—Boosting Democrats’ Midterm Chances Newsweek3hTrump faces supermajority disapproval on gas prices 2 weeks before midterms NPR2hPoll: Voters want Congress to be a check on Trump, trust Democrats more on issues PennLive7hRepublicans deliver scathing midterm judgment on Trump in new poll The Hill8hTrump approval at new lows in polling days before midterms USA Today6hTrump approval rating hits record lows in 2 separate polls

Left coverage, 9 sources: The left sees the poll as evidence that Trump's coalition is coming apart, with Democrats now winning on the economy.

Raw Story12hShock NYT poll shows Trump coalition coming apart as Dems win on core MAGA issue Political Wire6hThe Bottom Falls Out for Trump Cleveland.com7hTrump faces troubling trend in 5 new polls: ‘Extraordinarily low and still dropping’AlterNet4hAn eye-popping number of Republicans now want Trump impeached Daily Kos7hThings look really grim for the GOP Politico8hTrump’s approval ratings hit new lows in final stretch of midterms The Boston Globe8hTrump approval hits new low two weeks before midterms The Guardian8hTrump’s approval rating drops to 36% two weeks before midterms, poll finds The Independent3hTrump polling continues to reach new lows just two weeks ahead of midterms

Right coverage, 4 sources: The right sees an approval slump driven by gas prices and inflation that Trump is trying to counter with an aggressive campaign push.

Washington Examiner10hTrump's approval rating reaches new low despite midterm campaign push The Center Square9hPoll: More than half of Americans disapprove of Trump, economy Newsmax5hPoll: Most Americans Disapprove of Trump's Handling of AI Reason9hTrump's approval rating hits new low

What’s next: Trump plans rallies this week as some Republicans in competitive races distance themselves on economic issues.

A separate Center Square poll found 55% of registered voters disapprove of Trump.
Will Democrats' low party satisfaction, 28% in the Times/Siena poll, dampen their turnout?
Will gas prices ease before Election Day, as Cato's Ryan Bourne says experts expect?