Fastrack · Democrats Expand Spending in Deep-Red House Districts

House Majority PAC, the top Democratic House super PAC, is buying TV ads in two districts Trump won by double digits.

$2.2 million targets GOP Rep. Brad Finstad in Minnesota's 1st District.
$380,000 targets GOP Rep. Victoria Spartz in Indiana's 5th District.
2 points: Democrat Jake Johnson's lead over Finstad in a KAAL-TV/SurveyUSA poll.
19 House races shifted toward Democrats in Cook Political Report's Friday update.

Why it matters: Both parties are now spending in districts once considered safe for Republicans. Trump's super PAC has added money to defend Spartz and Finstad.

0 late-added Red to Blue Republican seats have flipped since 2018, Politico found.
The NRCC is spending in Nebraska's 1st and Rep. Richard Hudson's district.

The story so far

3 steps · since Oct 23

Oct 23Democrats Poised to Retake House in Midterms56 sources
Oct 266:21 AMDemocrats Expand Spending in Deep-Red House DistrictsYou are here
Oct 266:23 AMTrump-Linked Firms Brace for GOP Midterm Losses6 sourcesLatest

How 10 sources split on this story

Source landscape

Factuality

High

Mixed

Low

Strong LeftLeftLean LeftCenterLean RightRightStrong Right

Political Bias

Coverage by lean% of 10 sources

10 sources · 13 articles · 40% Center coverage

Where they split: Coverage disagrees on whether late spending in deep-red seats signals a real Democratic wave or a low-odds bid for momentum and donors.

Center4 sources

abc27 (WHTM)12hPennsylvania Democrats invest over $400,000 to flip State House seat Florida Politics1dHouse Majority PAC yanks TV buys for Bale Dalton. Are D.C. Democrats pulling out of Central Florida?The Hill13hDCCC pushes for ads targeting GOP on AI, data centers in dozens of key House races WKBN Youngstown11hPennsylvania Democrats invest over $400,000 to flip State House seat

Left coverage, 3 sources: The left sees GOP defensive spending as evidence of a building Democratic wave, while Politico notes late reaches rarely succeed.

Daily Kos2dRepublicans rush to save another batch of deep-red House seats Politico2dWhy Dems’ late House reaches don’t usually pan out Political Wire14hDemocrats Expand the House Map in Final Week

Right coverage, 3 sources: The right reports the Democratic spending push alongside Republican money moving to protect incumbents and Senate seats.

The Daily Caller2dDemocrats Now Spending Over $2 Million In Districts Trump Won By Double-Digit Points BizPac Review2dDemocrats now spending over $2 million in districts Trump won by double-digit points The Washington Times2dMajor Republican PAC makes defensive ad buys in deep-red states

What’s next: Voters decide the races on Election Day, eight days after the ad buys were announced.

Indiana's polls close early, so the Spartz race may offer an early read on the night.
Will any of the nine Democrats added to Red to Blue since September flip a seat?
Do private GOP polls show these districts closer than public ratings suggest?