Analysts say a Democratic win in Tuesday's US midterms may not ease tensions with allies. Some warn it could carry costs for Europe and Canada.
8-point average Democratic lead appears in polls cited by Al Jazeera.
3 seats is the net gain Democrats need for a House majority.
4 seats is the net gain Democrats need to win the Senate.
34% of the vote goes to Le Pen in French presidential polling.
Why it matters: Catherine Fieschi of Carnegie Europe said a Democratic win could make Europeans complacent about their own right-wing movements. She also warned Trump might push faster for deals with Putin.
Political scientist Matthew Lebo said a lame-duck Trump could become more erratic on foreign policy.
Johns Hopkins' Christopher Sands said Democrats might keep a baseline tariff wall.
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Political Bias
Coverage by lean% of 10 sources
10 sources · 14 articles · 70% Center coverage
Where they split: Coverage differs on whether a Democratic Congress would meaningfully constrain Trump abroad or mainly change the mood among allies.
Center coverage, 7 sources: The center frames the midterms through Trump's weakening position at home and abroad, with limited relief expected for allies.