Updated 1w+ ago · Politics
Pappas Advances to Face Sununu in Senate Race.
New Hampshire holds its Senate primary Tuesday, with Rep. Chris Pappas the expected Democratic nominee to replace retiring Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. General election polls show the race a statistical tie.
- 47% to 34%: Pappas' lead over Manzur in the latest UNH poll.
- 98% chance of winning: Pappas' odds on both Kalshi and Polymarket.
- 45% to 43%: Sununu's lead over Pappas in the same UNH general election poll.
- New Hampshire backed Harris by roughly 3 points in 2024.
Why it matters: Democrats need a net gain of four Senate seats for a majority. Losing New Hampshire would erase a hard-fought pickup elsewhere.
- Sununu served in the Senate 2003–2009 and comes from a family that produced two New Hampshire governors.
- Kathy Sullivan, former New Hampshire Democratic Party chair, said national Democratic spending has not prioritized the state.
How 43 sources split on this story
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43 sources · 107 articles · 37% Right coverage
Where they split: The core dispute is whether Pappas is a strong enough general election candidate: his campaign has sent fundraising emails saying 'We're losing,' while prediction markets and several polls still favor him.
Center15 sources
The Hill1w+Shaheen wins Democratic primary for New Hampshire House seat left open by PappasUSA Today1w+New Hampshire election results: Latest on primary races for House, Senate, governorAssociated Press1w+New Hampshire Primary Results 2026: Senate, House and GovernorPBS NewsHour1w+Live Results: New Hampshire midterm primariesYahoo News1w+Incumbent GOP governor rolls to primary victory after keeping Trump at a distanceBloomberg1w+Key New Hampshire Senate Race to Pit Pappas Against SununuCNBC1w+New Hampshire goes to the polls in primary for key open Senate seatJerusalem Post1w+Chris Pappas projected to win New Hampshire Democratic nomination to the US SenateKSAT 12 San Antonio1w+AP Decision Notes: What to expect in New Hampshire’s state primaryNewsweek1w+Chris Pappas vs. Karishma Manzur—Final polls, odds in New Hampshire primaryNOTUS1w+Sununu to Face Pappas in New Hampshire Senate Race - NOTUS — News of the United StatesRealClearPolitics1w+Pappas To Face Sununu in NH U.S. Senate RaceReuters1w+New Hampshire primary kicks off battle for one of nation's key open Senate seatsRoll Call1w+Pappas and Sununu set up marquee Senate clash in New HampshireSemafor1w+Pappas, Sununu to face off in crucial New Hampshire Senate race
Left coverage, 12 sources: The left frames the race as a warning sign for Democrats — Pappas ran a low-energy campaign, the DSA primary challenge exposed weaknesses, and the general election could slip away if the party doesn't pay attention.
MSNBC1w+Chris Pappas wins New Hampshire Democratic Senate primaryPolitical Wire1w+New Hampshire Democrats Brace for a Tough Senate RaceThe Boston Globe1w+Stefany Shaheen wins N.H. Democratic congressional nominationNBC News1w+Republican John Sununu and Democrat Chris Pappas win New Hampshire Senate primaries, setting up battleground racePolitico1w+Stefany Shaheen, daughter of Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, wins New Hampshire House primaryThe New York Times1w+John E. Sununu Wins Republican Senate Primary in New HampshireAl Jazeera1w+US midterm elections: Key takeaways from New Hampshire primariesBoston.com1w+Former US Sen. John E. Sununu to face US Rep. Chris Pappas in New Hampshire Senate raceCBS News1w+New Hampshire Senate race set between Chris Pappas and John Sununu after projected primary winsCNN1w+Rep. Chris Pappas will face former Sen. John E. Sununu in New Hampshire Senate race, CNN projectsThe Guardian1w+New Hampshire voters head to polls in race crucial to Democrats’ Senate hopesThe Washington Post1w+Establishment wins and other takeaways from the New Hampshire primaries
Right coverage, 16 sources: The right frames the race as a genuine Republican pickup opportunity, emphasizing Sununu's name recognition, recent polling ties, and Democratic anxiety about a state they expected to hold easily.
Fox News1w+Senator's daughter wins Democratic nod in closely watched race to replace outgoing Dem incumbentNewsmax1w+John Sununu Wins GOP Senate Nomination in New HampshireThe Epoch Times1w+Ayotte, Warmington Will Face Off in New Hampshire Governor Race in NovemberJust the News1w+Kelly Ayotte wins Republican nomination for New Hampshire governor in bid for second termRedState1w+Let's Go: Sununu and Pappas Advance in New Hampshire Senate RaceCitizen Free Press1w+John Sununu wins primary — Senate seat (currently held by Jeanne Shaheen) will flip to republicans.Daily Mail1w+New Hampshire Democrat Chris Pappas faces Republican dynasty in sleeper race to determine Senate controlNew York Post1w+Sen. Jeanne Shaheen's daughter Stefany wins nasty primary for New Hampshire House seatNTD1w+Ayotte, Warmington Will Face Off in New Hampshire Governor Race in NovemberWashington Examiner1w+Washington ExaminerHot Air1w+LIVE PRIMARY RESULTS: Will DSA Score Again in New Hampshire?PJ Media1w+LIVE RESULTS: New Hampshire Determines Who Will Replace Shaheen and Much More!RSBNetwork1w+Trump-backed John Sununu wins New Hampshire GOP Senate primaryThe Center Square1w+Pappas to face Sununu in New Hampshire U.S. Senate raceThe Gateway Pundit1w+JUST IN: John Sununu Wins NH GOP Senate Primary * The Gateway Pundit * by Jordan ConradsonTownhall1w+PRIMARY RESULTS: Granite State Showdown
What’s next: Tuesday's primary results set the general election matchup.
- No public polls have tested Manzur against Sununu in a general election.
- Would Manzur, if she won the primary, be more or less competitive than Pappas against Sununu in November?
- Will national Democratic outside spending increase in New Hampshire before Election Day?
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