Darline Graham advances to GOP Senate runoff in South Carolina.
South Carolina Republicans vote Tuesday in a nine-candidate special Senate primary. No candidate is widely expected to clear the 50 percent threshold needed to avoid a runoff.
- 33 percent: Graham's share in an August 9 Quantus Insights poll of 636 likely voters.
- 22 percent: Norman's lead in an Emerson College poll of likely Republican primary voters.
- Prediction markets gave Graham roughly a 46-48 percent chance of winning the nomination.
- Trump endorsed Graham on July 17, six days after her appointment.
Why it matters: The contest is unusual for a Trump-era red-state primary: none of the leading candidates offers him a straightforward ally.
- Graham did not vote in Trump's 2024 presidential primary or the 2016 general election, per state records.
- Rep. Ralph Norman endorsed Nikki Haley over Trump in 2024; former Gov. Mark Sanford ran against Trump in the 2020 presidential primary.
How 47 sources split on this story
Where they split: The core dispute is whether Trump's backing can overcome Graham's lack of political experience and thin movement credentials against better-known rivals.
Center coverage, 17 sources: The center presents the primary as one of several competitive Tuesday contests, noting the structural uncertainty — a crowded field, polling spread, and runoff rules — without a strong verdict on Trump's influence.
Left coverage, 13 sources: The left frames the race as evidence that Trump's political grip is weakening, highlighting his near-failure in South Carolina's June governor's primary and the awkward voting records of his preferred candidates.
Right coverage, 17 sources: The right focuses on the competitive dynamics and polling data, treating Graham's Trump endorsement and NRSC backing as meaningful advantages while acknowledging the unsettled field.
What’s next: Trump held a tele-rally for Graham on Monday night before Tuesday's vote.
- A senior White House official said no dual-endorsement strategy for a runoff has been discussed.
- If a runoff occurs, will Trump endorse a second candidate as he did in June's governor's race?
- Can Graham's Washington schedule and limited campaign trail presence hurt her in a compressed race?









































