South Carolina Senate Race Tightens Without Lindsey Graham.

Darline Graham leads a 10-candidate Republican special primary field in South Carolina, with the Aug. 11 vote days away. She holds the seat her brother Lindsey Graham occupied until his death on July 11.

• 30.4% back Graham in the latest Quantus Insights poll, ahead of Ralph Norman at 17.5%.
• 41,000-plus early ballots were cast in the first two days of early voting.
• Polymarket bettors give Graham roughly a 65% chance of finishing first on Tuesday.
• Trump endorsed Graham on Truth Social, calling her a 'spectacular person' and 'true American Patriot.'

Why it matters: Graham was appointed July 14 to fill the vacancy and declared her candidacy for a full six-year term within days. She has never run for or held elected office.

• She remained in Washington for most Senate votes rather than campaigning, skipping one debate and speaking at only two in-person forums.
• Gibbs Knotts, a political science professor at Coastal Carolina University, said a bruising primary could leave the eventual nominee weakened heading into a general election.

How 13 sources split on this story

Where they split: The core dispute is whether Graham's Senate attendance record is an asset that demonstrates commitment or a liability that prevented her from building a voter coalition.

What’s next: If no candidate clears a winning threshold Tuesday, a runoff is set for Aug. 25.

• The National Republican Senatorial Committee is running television ads backing Graham before the vote.
• Whether Graham's polling lead translates to actual votes given her limited retail campaigning.
• How much of Graham's support is loyalty to her brother's name versus backing for her own positions.
• Whether Trump's endorsement is enough to push her past a runoff or to an outright primary win.